• The bulletin provides an independent assessment of consumer prices and inflation rates in all Syrian regions based on a monthly survey of consumer prices carried out by the Syrian Center for Policy Research (SCPR) since October 2020. The SCPR had developed a methodology for building a price index based on components of the consumer basket, weighting, and market selection (See SCPR’s Consumer Price Index in Syria)
• The release of this bulletin coincides with the Ministry of Energy raising the residential electricity tariff by 60-fold. In contrast, the tariff for industrial sector lines exempt from rationing (large industrialists) was reduced from SYP 2,375 to SYP 1,500 per kilowatt-hour (a reduction of 37 per cent). Additionally, prices for diesel, gas, and gasoline were reduced by percentages ranging between 11 per cent and 25 per cent.
• Data for November 2025 showed an apparent numerical stability in the general inflation rate, which recorded only 0.1 per cent. However, this relative stability conceals a sharp variance between two opposing trends of administrative pricing decisions. While the decision to reduce fuel prices (diesel and gasoline) acted as a mitigating factor that pulled the “Transport” group index toward a significant decrease of 11.8 per cent, the decision to raise residential electricity prices acted as a pressuring force on overall prices.
• The geographical distribution of inflation in November 2025 shows a clear regional variance. The “Electricity Shock” was intensely concentrated in the coast and the capital, Damascus, where Lattakia and Tartous recorded record figures (8.6 per cent and 7.1 per cent, respectively), followed by Damascus and Dara’a. This price surge in these governorates reflects their full and direct exposure to the government’s tariff increase decision, as the decrease in fuel prices was insufficient to bridge the massive gap left by the doubling of energy bills in service and tourism-oriented communities that rely entirely on the public grid.
• An analysis of price variance between the three regions—SYP-Governed Areas (SYP-GA) (formerly regime areas), TL-Governed Areas (TL-GA) (formerly interim and salvation areas), and the Autonomous Administration (AA)—at the level of main consumption groups reveals that the “Education” group was the most variant in prices during November 2025. It was followed by the “Housing Equipment, Furniture, and Routine Maintenance” group, and then the “Transport” group. Conversely, key groups such as “Tobacco and Smoking,” “Miscellaneous Goods and Services,” and “Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages” show relative stability (i.e., a low coefficient of variation).
• The groups of “Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels,” “Education,” and “Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages” led high price pressures, with their relative contributions exceeding 270 per cent, 174 per cent, and 101 per cent, respectively. However, this increase was effectively contained by the exceptional negative contribution of the “Transport” sector, which reached (-898 per cent). This was due to the direct reflection of the policy to reduce fuel prices and adjust internal transport tariffs, which played the role of a “shock absorber” and prevented the general inflation rate from spiraling out of control.
• The Central Bank of Syria continued to fix the official exchange rate at SYP 11,055 per USD, while the informal market experienced sharp fluctuations, reaching SYP 12,085 per USD. The 2.5 per cent decrease in the value of the SYP during November 2025 exacerbated inflationary pressures on commercial activities and consumers.
• The average monthly wage for a university-educated public sector employee (at the start of appointment) in Syria reached approximately SYP 1.15 million in November 2025. Meanwhile, the average monthly wage for a private sector worker was SYP 1.30 million, whereas a civil sector employee recorded SYP 2.97 million during the same month.
• The abject poverty line for a household (as an indicator of food deprivation) at the Syrian national level reached SYP 2.89 million per month in November 2025. The lower poverty line reached SYP 4.54 million, and the upper poverty line reached SYP 6.27 million. Poverty lines recorded their highest levels in the governorates of Damascus, Aleppo, Homs, and Rural Damascus, while the governorates of As-Sweida, Lattakia, Deir-Ezzor, and Al-Hasakeh recorded the lowest values for poverty lines during November 2025.

Consumer Price Index and Monthly Inflation (M-o-M) in Syria during the period (November 2024 – November 2025), (Base Year 2021 = 100) and (Inflation in per cent)

Source: Syrian Center for Policy Research, Monthly consumer price survey in Syria 2025.

Categories: Bulletins, Monthly Bulletins, Monthly Bulletins 2025, November, Publication

Tags: Monthly Bulletin, SCPR, Syria